Mets Minors Series Preview: Binghamton Mets @ Portland Sea Dogs | Astromets Mind

Monday, April 27, 2015

Mets Minors Series Preview: Binghamton Mets @ Portland Sea Dogs

Dates: 4/27-4/29
Current Record: 9-8, 2 GB of New Britain


All times are EST

Monday at 6:00 PM

Seth Lugo (1-0, 1.54 ERA, 1.72 FIP, 28.9 K%: 2.2 BB%, 0 HR/9)
@ Luis Diaz (0-1, 5.14 ERA, 3.22 FIP, 21.5 K%: 6.2 BB%, 0.64 HR/9)

Tuesday at 6:00 PM

Matt Koch (0-1, 4.96 ERA, 3.25 FIP, 16.2 K%, 1.5 BB%, 0.55 HR/9)
@ Mike Augliera (0-3, 5.65 ERA, 3.29 FIP, 18.1 K%: 9.7 BB%, 0 HR/9)

Wednesday at 6:00 PM

Rainy Lara (2-0, 2.04 ERA, 2.92 FIP, 17.9 K%: 7.5 BB%, 0 HR/9)
@ Mike McCarthy (2-1, 4.80 ERA, 6.30 FIP, 15.9 K%: 11.1 BB%, 1.80 HR/9)

Last series for B-Mets

Lost 3 of 4 in New Hampshire: L 5-4, L 10-5, L 10-5, W 3-0

Top prospects of the Boston Red Sox playing for Portland

Organizational rankings are from the 2015 Baseball America Prospect Handbook

Carlos Asuaje, 23, LHH 2B/3B/OF
Ranked #25, BA Grade: 45, Medium risk

            Asuaje has shown good plate discipline early in his transition to AA (14.5 K%: 13 BB%), but he hasn’t hit the ball with much authority yet (.292 BABIP/.069 ISO), and has average-at-best speed to pair with his average-at-best power. At 5’9”, he’s not going to break out with more homerun power anytime soon, so he’ll have to continue to show gap power and an ability to hit for a high average. Defensively, he’s serviceable at 3B, but better suited for 2B or LF according to BA, which seems like an unusual mix. Without any standout tools, he looks like more of a future utility guy at the highest level, but he’d be valuable in that role if he can keep hitting like he did in 2014.

Justin Haley, 23, RH SP
Ranked #28, BA Grade: 45, High risk

            Haley got a late season promotion to Portland last year and dominated the EL over his 6 starts (1.19 ERA/3.73 FIP), but has not had nearly as much success to start 2015. His control, which had been an issue in 2012-13, is worse than ever, which his BB-rate up to 15.6%. Although it’s already generally accepted that K% > K/9, Haley is a perfect example of why, as his K/9 bumped up from 7.88 to 8.16 in AA this year, but his K% has dropped from 21.3% to 16.9%. Haley’s best pitch is probably his fastball that sits in the lower 90’s, touching 94. He surprised people with his performance in 2014, which earned him a spot in the BA top-30 with ‘potential number 5’ upside, but he’ll drop right back off the list if he doesn’t turn it around soon.

Henry Ramos, 23, SH OF
Ranked #29, BA Grade: 50, Extreme risk

            Ramos was off to a 4-18 start for Portland before landing on the AA DL, although I didn’t see what injury sent him there. He was having a breakout season with Portland through 48 games in 2014, hitting .326/.368/.431 with 13 extra base hits before fouling a pitch off his left knee and missing the rest of the year – hopefully that’s not what knocked him out this year. BA really liked his defense in the OF, saying, “His plus range, plus arm and average speed in RF suggest a player who could fill an extra outfielder role in the big leagues.” One NL evaluator was quoted as saying, “If he hits at all, he’s a starter.”  Get healthy soon Mr. Ramos.

Pat Light, 24, RH RP
Ranked #30, BA Grade: 45, High risk

            It’s been an uneven start for Light in his AA career, as he has an impressive 24.4 K%: 4.4 BB%, but has allowed 3 homeruns in just 10.1 IP. Homeruns were an issue for him in 2013 too, but he was starting back then, and they weren’t an issue in 2014. This is his first season as a full time reliever, and his numbers look good other than the SSS HR-rate (two homeruns were allowed in his first appearance). His fastball has reportedly touched triple digits in short bursts, but he topped out at 94 MPH as a starter, so the Red Sox are wise to try him out in the pen. If the triple-digit velocity is real, he could potentially be a pen option for the Red Sox at some point this year, depending on the state of their relief depth.

Recent Injuries/Transactions

            Gavin Cecchini did not return this past weekend from a sore groin injury that’s been bugging him the past 10. Considering the extremely cold temperatures in New Hampshire this past weekend, that might not have been a bad thing, as we don’t want him aggravating that injury any worse.


            Will Gavin Cecchini finally return? Cheech hasn’t played since April 17th, but was seen testing his groin with some field action this past weekend, so hopefully he’s on the verge of returning. He was off to a hot start when he went out, so hopefully he won’t have too much rust when he returns.

            Jared King POWAH! King had his best 3-game stretch of the season over the weekend, going 5-12 with 2 doubles and 2 homers, although he still struck out 4 times. He’s had a hit in 12 of 15 games this season, but he only had one multi-hit game before Friday, and these were his first two bombs since 8/7/2014.

            After starting the season 0-14, Brandon Nimmo has been on fire, slashing to a .346/.433/.519, with 5 XBH (3 2B, 2 HR) and 12 K: 7 BB over the 60 PA since his first hit. He’s already up to 355 PA in AA, and he’s never had more than 480 at any level in the minors, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets a May promotion to AAA this year.

            The B-Mets pitching has been consistently getting great results from the starters, but middling results from the bullpen, with the exception of Paul Sewald. Sewald has been excellent, with a 30.3 K%: 6.1 BB%, which has been pretty standard throughout his minor league career. After coming into the season unsure of his role for 2015, Seth Lugo has stood out over his first two starts, but might have to keep it up to solidify his spot in a crowded rotation that could have Michael Fulmer joining it soon. Matthew Koch had been solid early in his first two starts, but he got better throughout the game in his third start – can he do that again, or will he struggle the second and third time through the lineup? Rainy Lara gets the third game of the series, and he’s pitching as well as he has in the minors early in 2015. If the Mets do plan on promoting Fulmer to AA soon, Lara could end up promoted to AAA to clear space in the Bingo rotation, as the 51s have had a couple of starters struggling early.

League Leaders

R: Jared King, t-9th (10)
H: Jayce Boyd, 11th (19)
2B: Jayce Boyd, t-4th (5), Jared King, t-4th (5)
RBI: Jayce Boyd, t-7th (11)
OBP: Josh Rodriguez, 9th (.417)
OPS: Josh Rodriguez, 10th (.886)

Saves: Jon Velasquez, t-1st (5)
WHIP: Rainy Lara, 7th (0.91)

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